hello everybody and welcome back to Red Eagle politics make sure you guys like this video down below and subscribe to the channel if you are new so ladies and gentlemen the verdict is in the real verdict not the New York verdict that we’ve talked about we have an election coming up this November and that verdict will decide who is going to be the next president of the United States over the next four years and we got word this morning that Quinnipiac was dropping a pole out of Georgia and this is a very far-left pollster they said that Brian Kemp and Stacy Abrams were tied in you know their 2022 last Georgia poll and they also had Rafael waro up by 10 so they overestimated Democrats in the state by around seven to eight points so I was like okay Biden’s going to lead a poll in Georgia for the first time in literally two years and we’re going to hear a lot of people that are very very annoying chime in and claim that well you know Trump is done the verdict is going to Doom him well we have our poll we have our results Donald Trump in the Quinnipiac poll leads Joe Biden by five percentage points Five Points he leads Biden by Five Points this is not a drill you are seeing this here A left leing poster a notorious left leing poster in Georgia they’re showing Donald Trump with a five-point lead that’s like his 2016 margin this was a state that a lot of Republicans even after you know 2020 2022 they were saying we may never win this again due to certain demographic changes and I was a Georgia Doomer as well but Biden is just completely collapsing and Donald Trump is taking advantage of it you know you had very high black turnout in the 2020 election higher than 2008 and you’re probably not going to see that this time given Biden’s lack of enthusiasm in the black community it’s where it was you don’t have the BLM stuff going on this time around you have an economy that many people view to be in shambles and as a result a lot of people are just not that enthused for Biden some people are even flipping to Trump Biden’s getting some buyers remorse in the suburbs you’re also seeing Hispanics move right white working class voters in Georgia they keep getting redder in some of these counties uh they continue to do so in the midterms and it’s like Georgia is not a state where Democrats are really going to be able to compete CU Republic an of such a high floor and Biden’s already lost his super narrow margin for error and even though Donald Trump has been quote unquote convicted of a felony it’s not moving the needle it’s not this poll shows that the verdict made people more likely to vote for Trump if you click on the poll you can go through the cross tabs and you know the the poll down the line it does say around half the voters agree with the verdict but not a majority said that the trial was exactly fair and when it came down to it Donald Trump is indeed in the lead and Independence are tied and Trump is winning white voters with a four-year degree by close to 20 points and that is also huge and he’s winning every single age group which is is huge he’s winning Whites by 40 he is performing very respectably among black voters for a Republican and you look at this Biden’s got problems that’s why he’s not trying in Georgia that’s why they’ve you know devalued the state it’s not top priority they’re going after other states they’re going for States like Michigan Pennsylvania Wisconsin Arizona those are the core four three of which were not competitive not in play until Trump came on the national scene and Biden’s favorability rating he’s down by 20 points Trump in the state he’s down by three so you kind of see that Trump is definitely making up a lot of ground among voters who disapprove of both and there’s a lot more of those than there were before and RFK Jr not really making an impact against Donald Trump it seems in this poll and we could look down the poll Trump leads on the economy by 20 points immigration by close to 20 I think it’s a lot more than that I think that’s a little bit of an anomaly there but Trump leads on Democracy democracy Trump leads he leads by three points it’s almost like if you try to lock up your political opponent opponent that you’re going to end up doing a little bit better on that subject who knows Trump leads on Russia and Ukraine Trump is basically tied on abortion Georgia is not really a pro-abortion state it’s a very pro-life State even some Democrats some black Democrats they vote Democrat no matter what and they still will but it’s not that big of an issue for them compared to these white college aged liberals and even then those people don’t like Biden so Biden’s in a really really really tough spot really tough spot and even when it comes to the Georgia indictment not going to happen before the election the Florida indictment the trial also not going to happen before the election Supreme Court May gut DC probably not going to happen before the election even though that one likely does happen before the other two assuming it’s not like fully gutted by the Supreme Court or anything like that so quak looking good but not just quinc the New York Times one of the most accurate pollsters of last cycle Donald Trump is currently at 47 and Biden is at 46 that is the same that their last poll ended up reporting if you look at this you can go down to the New York Times Sienna right here Trump LED 4746 so while it does say that Trump would have had a bigger lead if it weren’t for the conviction there’s no change there’s no differential so maybe there is some sort of response bias there who exactly knows why that is but the numbers have not moved since the last poll so them saying you know Trump went down one or Biden went up one that’s not a fair you know analysis when it says that there’s been zero change since the last poll they just happened to gauge that maybe Trump would have a higher support if you know it wasn’t for the verdict so there’s no change and it’s possible those people could be one over mainly because the more people learn about the case the more bogus that they realize that the case is they’re making Trump into a martyr this is not hurting Donald Trump whatsoever they hoped it would and it hasn’t and when you look at the five-way race which again there’s more than two candidates on the ballot you go to the New York Times their last poll they had Donald Trump leading by I believe 1% that’s gone up to two so if anything he’s gained in the New York Times poll which is like one of the gold standards they’ve been wrong in the past but usually it’s because they’ve been underestimating Donald Trump and overestimating Joe Biden and we’re 5 months away to they were 5 months away and you look at the election the betting odds are not really the best indicator although if anything they’ve been leaning against Donald Trump more so than not and what do they show they show Trump with his biggest lead ever despite being a convicted felon they say convicted felon well guess what the American people get to decide if they’re going to label Trump as such or if they’re going to label him as president of the United States and so far it’s looking good for Donald Trump ironically I disagree with the betting odds and the Rus Bel the electoral map still shows Biden getting to at least 269 here just because there’s such narrow betting margins in the Rust Belt I would probably disagree with that but either way they still expect Trump to you know based on the law of averages take one of those States and that’s the problem with Joe Biden Joe Biden has to defend four states whereas Trump needs to win one of them to win you know he Trump likely gets Georgia and Nevada Biden is probably not going to contest them that much because they know they have to defend Virginia they have to defend Minnesota New York is polling within single digits as is New Jersey I’m not saying that it’s going to stay that way but that’s what the polls are showing so get mad at me for saying it I don’t think Trump’s going to win it though but I will say that Biden’s in a lot of trouble because he’s having to defend places that nobody thought would ever even be remotely competitive at this point he’s a joke he’s a clown that’s the main takeaway and Trump is energizing and cons validating his base and people that don’t like Biden they can see what’s going on they can see that this is a political persecution they know it is and Biden’s a hypocrite he’s losing the moral High Ground on the Democracy argument when you’re trying to throw somebody in uh prison potentially for something that is a crime that you can’t even name and then you have a judge and a jury that is obviously biased you cannot say there’s no conflict of interest there you absolutely cannot with a straight face whether you like Trump or not you know the people that are basically saying Trump is guilty the only reason why they’re cheering you know deep down if they’re being honest is because they don’t like Trump it’s not because this is the law being followed correctly we know that’s not the case absolutely anybody who paid five seconds of attention or read about the case even some of these unbiased articles or even liberal biased papers we’ve seen that I mean there’s articles in the Philadelphia inquire about you know we don’t like Trump but this was wrongfully decided it’s pretty obvious but I do want to touch briefly on the primaries from last night Donald Trump finishing with around 17 million total votes in the primary Joe Biden finishing with around it seems like 13 to 14 million when it’s all said and done and Biden had a a larger drop off than we saw in 2020 from Trump you know Trump went down about a million votes it seems Biden went down about 5 million and Biden had no competition this time obviously there’s less of a reason to turn out it’s not the best IND indicator I’m aware but still some of these results last night were telling because there was a reason for people to show up in New Jersey and Montana in New Mexico last night because you had the down ballot primaries and you look at paak County this is a very Hispanic heavy County Biden at 78% in some of these other counties surrounding the New York City area Biden not even getting in the mid 80s this is a closed primary closed primary Donald Trump had a closed primary too you know the Haley vote we hear about that but you know still over 90% of Republicans easily voted for Trump his percentage margin in the state is ridiculously good and yeah the right in votes are there some will be counted up a lot of them never voted for him in the first place but still Donald Trump cracking 90% in New Jersey doing better than Biden percentage-wise in New Jersey in terms of who’s got their base on board it’s Trump it’s Donald Trump Montana Donald Trump got 91% of the vote and that was with some crossover from Democrats meddling in the down ballot races Biden got about the same and this is an Open Primary but you look at this the other Republican incumbents they were doing worse than Trump uh you know nobody’s saying that these people are in danger and they’re getting like what 80 some percent 75% Donald Trump getting over 90% oh well apparently it’s a it’s a big deal it’s a problem they say it’s not New Mexico Trump got a better percentage than Biden it shows that Biden is really struggling among Hispanic voters across the country he is I mean you got these closed primaries so people have to vote in the party that they’re in they’re showing up and they’re voting uncommitted in very high numbers and the Haley vote share as I anticipated did end up dropping because you know she basically endorsed Donald Trump so there’s less of a reason for anti-trump Republicans who never supported Trump Or democrats who happen to be registered as Republicans to pull the lever for for her that’s why uncommitted probably got 3% there but Trump getting not very many defectors overall Biden getting a noticeable share and a comparatively much higher share of them South Dakota he got 74.6% of the vote in that primary it’s not like it’s a competitive state but it’s a recurring theme even in DC the swamp he can’t even crack 90% in the swampiest place in the country you think that’s he would do best so overall the final presidential primaries for Donald Trump and Joe Biden most likely what does it tell you Trump did very well and the arguments they use against Trump they don’t exactly hold up and possibly he got a turnout boost because of the whole conviction ordeal and that we know but when you’re looking at this it’s like the polls are not looking good the economy people don’t perceive it to be good they don’t buy the gaslighting immigration Biden’s button mashing doesn’t really seem like it’s going to move the needle it’s not like he’s actually following the law and deporting people because nobody’s Above the Law as Biden says except himself except his son except you know the tens of millions of illegal aliens uh that have poured into this country many of which under his watch by the way those people they’re fine we have to shelter them and and keep them here until they get amnesty because that’s the long-term goal but the American people are not stupid quinc of all polls in Georgia you know you apply the 2022 error which is not really the best thing to do but if you had to do it the way the left likes to do with all these other polls it would show that Donald Trump would be leading by like 13 points right now ridiculous so good news for Trump but anyways guys thanks for watching this video like this video down below comment down below subscribe to the channel hit the bell for notifications so you never miss another video follow me on social media the links are all in the description down below and I will see you guys in the next one Red Eagle out
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Video Duration: 00:14:10
