DEEP DIVE: Christians May Decide the 2024 Election!?

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hello public opinion afficionados and welcome to Ras musim reports the independent pollster who at this point you might as well nickname Old Faithful because we keep putting out that Trump plus two national popular vote win and there’s a lot of craziness happening in the industry right now basically everybody else is either you know massively shifting their numbers to the right because they can’t shill for Democrats anymore they’re either ducking their polls and some of them are even putting out their final calls and news flash it’s October 19th there’s more than two and a half weeks left to the election elections have been decided in the last two weeks and yet some of these pollsters are just absolutely not curious at all about what kind of results they’re going to see at the end of October maybe it’s because they just can’t stand to put out polls that show Trump winning because the momentum is all in Trump’s Direction now at the end of the video I’ll take a quick look at the state of the race it’s really fascinating what’s happening but tonight we’re going to talk about religion specifically Christianity and it’s a topic because basically this week Donald Trump went to the Alfred E Smith Memorial Foundation dinner that literally every presidential candidate for like a hundred years has gone to except for I think Walter mandale and KLA Harris didn’t show up essentially pissing off 22% % of the electorate the Catholic voters and Trump had a really great night if you haven’t seen it yet he had some really good zingers and KLA Harris put in this essentially cringeworthy insulting video and had them play it and it was Ill rece whatever I mean it was really horrible but a lot of people are talking about Christians and who they’re going to vote for and even whether or not they’re going to vote at all and this is the Tweet that’s been circling Twitter Charlie Kirk talking about research put out by somebody named George Barna according to new survey data only 51% of people of Faith plan to vote this November translation 41 million bornan Christians will not vote 32 million Mainline Christians will not vote this is a five alarm fire well do you even want those Christians to vote if you’re Donald Trump that’s a really important question to answer now unfortunately I can’t actually fully answer this question yet because almost all of our election polling is US likely voters that means that we ask voters when it comes to general elections how often do you vote and we only keep people who say at least half the time but if you’re trying to find low propensity voters people who may not vote what you want to pull is all Americans and then ask them if it’s likely that they’ll vote this time or not and maybe also why they’re not voting or why they would vote Vote or what would make them vote and that’s actually something that we’re going to do now I put a call out on Twitter for help finding a sponsor and some awesome follower stepped up hooked up with a nonprofit and we are going into the field on Monday to answer this question once and for all but I do have a lot of information that we’re going to look at tonight about Christians in our swing State polling and I mean this is really important issue people might look at this chart and say wow look at this I mean if you can’t see this this is also put out by Barna weekly Church attendance Trends over the last 30 years and you can see they basically peaked in 2009 and have been going down massively ever since gee what happened in 2009 I posed that question to my followers I got a lot of really great responses people said it was the financial crisis people said it was Barack Hussein Obama people even said potentially it was the replacement of religious beliefs with quasi religious beliefs like the Church of LGBT I mean there were a really lot of good Concepts but if only 29% of Americans attend church weekly who cares anymore well we’re about to look at numbers about why why people absolutely 100% should care these are from the combined data points out of 10 states we did in September that’s basically a month ago but the data is really fresh and it’s all the six Battlegrounds Plus North Carolina Virginia Minnesota and New Mexico 10,000 is a really big sample which is why I picked it and the breakdown by religious affiliation was Evangelical Christians 22% Protestants 23% Catholics 21% and how we identify them is we basically just ask them a question which of the following best represents your religious Faith or affiliation and there are is also Jewish Muslim other not sure but we kept them out I kind of kept atheist in here just as I don’t know call it like a benchmark or or whatever but the point is is that 66% of battleground voters are Christian and roughly equal amounts are Evangelical Protestant or Catholic now let’s look at church attendance how frequently do you attend church once or more than once per week a couple of times per month once per month several times per year or rarely and never and it’s kind of tough to see a signal but Evangelical Christians definitely attend church more 46% say at least once a week but it’s only 31% and 32% of Protestants and Catholics but when you combine these two into to something called frequent attendance 64% of Evangelical Christians frequently attend church and only 36% infrequently meaning this but Protestants and Catholics it’s basically a coin flip whether they attend church or not and if you look at this 42% of Protestants only attend church rarely or never or several times per year and it’s 41% of Catholics almost the same amount these are basically the Easter and Christmas people it’s only 28% of Evangelical Christians that fall into the same categories only 18% of evangelicals say they rarely or never attend church and to be honest with you maybe it’s people that just don’t think their church is biblical enough but isn’t that crazy just how people identify themselves just this selection of words Evangelical versus Protestant totally different Church attendance Behavior but what about likelihood of voting now again these people have already been screened as likely voters but this question here is How likely are you to vote in the coming 2024 election that’s a pretty germine question so we shouldn’t throw the data out but to really understand if low propensity Christian voters are sitting this election out we really need to do that all adults poll evangelicals 86% say that they’re very likely to vote this time around but it’s 91% of Protestants isn’t that crazy evangelicals are much more religious about going to church but Protestants are more religious about going to the voting booth Catholics also beat them a little bit at 88% and even atheists by a point say they’re more very likely to vote now does that amount matter keep in mind Evangelical Christians are 22% of the Battleground electorate and as you’re about to find they go massively Trump but first I put an issue question in here just to paint a little bit more of a picture of the difference between Evangelical Christians and Protestants this question do you agree or disagree there are only two genders evangelicals overwhelmingly agree 89% at least someone agree 76% strongly but only 53% of protestant strongly agree although 71% of them still at least somewhat agree and only 22% disagree and Catholics are really I mean this is basically in the same place as Protestants now these Protestants overwhelmingly probably skew Mainline denominations and Catholic is kind of like a Mainline denomination so basically what it comes down to even though these people are worshiping the same God and receiving sermon preached from the same Bible they have overwhelmingly different Church attendance behavior and views on gender identity and what I can also tell you is that there’s an even bigger difference here when considering gender and sexual identity issues which candidates values are closer to your own Harris or Trump and among all likely voters it’s basically a tie but Evangelical Christians say Trump s 65% to 29% whereas among Protestants it’s tied these are the same Protestants that say there are only two genders these are the same Protestants that overwhelmingly oppose gender transition therapy for minors and even Catholics say Trump by almost 10 points same religion same kind of churches same Bible and yet overwhelmingly different views on the candidates and their values do you support or oppose gender transition therapy for miners to include hormone replacement therapy and gender reassignment surgery evangelicals actually 22% of them support that 10% strongly and not very many more Protestants 26% and actually fewer strongly support but 73% of Evangelical Christians oppose as do 63% of Protestants so they’re actually they’re not that far apart on this but as we all know Harris supports this stuff and Protestants are willing to overlook that and say that Harris’s views on sexual identity issues and gender stuff is more closely inine with them that is absolutely wild but let’s get a voting behavior Evangelical Christians vote Trump 66% to 31% a 35o margin that is massive that’s more than Independents are breaking Trump this is more than the signal among income it’s more than the signal among education it’s almost as much as party but if you’re a Protestant you only go Trump by four points and Catholics go Trump by well I guess it rounds up to 10 and athus SC Harris by 58 points now taking religion out of it and just looking at church attendance the signal is actually less so it is more about the kind of church you attend than how frequently you go but frequent church attenders still are more based they go Trump by basically 15 points here and infrequent Church attenders actually break Harris by 10 that is a really strong signal still but let’s add gender to this Evangelical men go Trump by 39 points but Evangelical women still go Trump by 31 that’s actually you know only eight points apart that’s pretty close because Protestant men go Trump by 12 but Protestant women vote Harris by two a 14o spread a lot bigger and among Catholic voters it’s the same 14o spread the Men actually go Trump more than Protestant men and the women actually go Trump here too but they’re still 14 points apart and you know who cares about atheists so anyways I thought that was pretty wild this is a review of the State polling those numbers actually came from it’s actually from this column here although we do have newer State numbers with a bunch of different issue questions that are just as interesting and they also include the religious breakdown I just thought it was better to get a snap shot of more States but now let’s talk about the race and looking at the states most people have probably seen this but we just did a set of Six States and they’re all Breaking hard for Trump except for Michigan and even Michigan is moving a point in Trump’s Direction this was a tough one to sample I think we’re too far left I actually think we’re still kind of left in some of these but these are all getting pretty close to Trump at the margin or outside the margin of error Nevada Trump plus two North Carolina moving two points to the right to Trump Trump plus five Ohio actually you know this is probably left of where it’s really going to wind up Pennsylvania Trump plus three at the margin of error but here is the new nightly chart we’ve been putting out and Trump actually pulled this is Thursday night we reported it yesterday Trump pulled a really massive three-point Advantage here in a sample that we made a mistake we collected too much data I think it was actually a response bias people were flaming mad Thursday night and everybody responded and this is almost the size of a full pole here so it’s going to take a while to chew through all these in the moving average to be honest but in the fornight trailing aggregate here that puts Trump back up to plus two look at that that’s where he’s been and if you look at the chart he’s creeping back up to his 48 to 49 range and KLA Harris once again seems who have bounced off that 47o ceiling and this is almost 2700 us likely voters twoo margin of air so this is that outside the margin of erir it’s a trump popular vote win and we are not the only people showing that Fox News shows it now we all know New York Times showed it Atlas Intel just put Trump out plus three tip has Harris plus one but pretty sure since the last cycle they went online only and all of their polling moved left NBC News has Trump tied and look at this eight years ago Clinton up 6.5 points that’s four points to the left of what she actually did Biden up nine points that’s over four points left of what he actually did if you apply that same pulling error you know Trump is actually up three here basically where we and Alice Intel have him and that makes sense but if you look here’s what the aggregate has been doing over time Harris was up 2.2 points at the beginning of October and that’s when all of the mainstream media turned on kamla Harris putting out all those stunning articles about how cracks were starting appear to appear and how there were warning signs for her campaign so the polling was actually pretty good then still but because the narrative leads the polling now the polling is all Breaking Trump and she’s losing more and more support rep and the most recent result was Harris plus 1.2 points if it continues like this you know Trump’s going to catch up and even the aggregate on real C politics may show Trump up here’s what the swing States look like on the real cleair politics aggregate again every single one of these is packed full of left-leaning media pollsters so Trump is definitely outperforming these numbers and yet these all are are starting to look like pretty solid Trump wins except for Wisconsin I think they there was some really blue stuff dragging that left but look we got Georgia Trump plus 1.7 North Carolina Trump plus a full Point Michigan Trump plus basically a full Point Arizona Trump plus 1.4 he might win all these comfortably and that’s what the vetting Market appears to be solidly pricing in because Trump has maintained his lead of basically 20 points here there’s been a lot of trading activity but if you look at the last week it’s kind of you know last day or two is been locked in here a lot of the froth and churn is gone and all the swing states are looking really good for Trump too he’s back on top even in Nevada and now he’s up by 40 points in Arizona and approaching 40 points in Georgia and look at Pennsylvania the must-win state for KLA Harris Trump is up 16 points and you know I don’t know it looks kind of locked in so I have to say it’s been kind of lonely being the only pollster out there over and over again for the entire cycle saying that it looks like Trump is winning this thing but everybody appears to be coming our way so that’s great fine whatever there’s still a lot of time left in the race but if the last couple days are any guide to what KLA Harris’s future have to hold it’s not going to be good especially if Donald Trump goes on Joe Rogan because people are just going to want to see a contract to that and KLA Harris out there just railing on Donald Trump rally after rally I don’t think is changing anybody’s mind and really at this point you know people are voting Trump because they live through the Biden Administration and they associate her with it and their prices are high their mortgage rates are high they’re losing jobs in a way that the Bureau of Labor Statistics isn’t catching in their job report numbers just things are bad for Americans and a lot of people have said this is like the 1980 race when Ronald Reagan went against Carter and the polling basically showed a tied race maybe nobody wanted to show Ronald Reagan winning he was a little bit of a atypical candidate but then in the last week or two everybody said you know we’re not better off than we were four years ago and things are just horrible and they had a gut check now maybe that gut check will affect my numbers and we’ll see a surge for Trump or maybe that surge will just be everybody catching up to us but if you want honest commentary about it make sure you follow us on Twitter at Rasmus Poole and here’s the thing if you’re interested in this poll about Christianity go to my Twitter account at markor RoR Mitchell I’m going to post this video and if you have ideas about questions you’d like us to ask in the poll over the next 24 hours I’m going to be putting the script together so make sure you post them in the replies there like the video on YouTube or Rumble And subscribe if you haven’t already and thanks for watching

Truly Right View: Advocating for Free Speech in the Age of Political Censorship

Introduction: What is Free Speech Today?

In a world where political discourse is dominated by big tech, cable news, and social media influencers, free speech is constantly under threat. From censorship of conservative viewpoints to the silencing of dissent on controversial issues, we are witnessing an alarming trend of restrictions on the most fundamental rights of any citizen in our Constitutional Republic: the right to speak freely.

But what does free speech truly mean in today’s context? Are we protecting it, or are we allowing authoritarian ideologies like socialism, communism, fascism, and dictatorships to erode it?

The Constitutional Perspective: Why Free Speech is Non-Negotiable

The First Amendment of the United States Constitution is crystal clear: “Congress shall make no law… abridging the freedom of speech.” The Founding Fathers understood the importance of free speech in preserving a free society. Without it, the ability to challenge government, expose corruption, and advocate for truth would be crushed.

Yet today, under the guise of protecting people from “misinformation” and “hate speech,” powerful institutions are curbing our ability to express ideas that do not conform to their narratives.

Do we not see this as a slippery slope toward authoritarianism?

Shouldn’t we, as citizens, be the ones who decide what we can or cannot hear, not a centralized body or corporation?

Social Media and Cable News: Platforms or Gatekeepers?

Social media was once hailed as the bastion of free speech. It allowed ordinary individuals to share their thoughts, advocate for causes, and hold the powerful accountable. However, over the years, major platforms like Twitter (now X), Facebook, and YouTube have become gatekeepers rather than facilitators of free expression.

Algorithms favor certain ideologies, while alternative viewpoints—especially those with a more conservative or constitutional slant—are shadow-banned, demonetized, or outright censored.

Does this not resemble the tactics of monarchies, communistic or fascist regimes that control what their citizens can see and hear?

Shouldn’t a true democracy allow the free flow of ideas, even if those ideas challenge the status quo?

Social Media Influencers: Fighters for Freedom or Puppets of Censorship?

Many social media influencers, especially those aligned with constitutional values, have become modern-day warriors for free speech. Yet, they face intense backlash, censorship, and de-platforming for voicing opinions that challenge globalist or left-leaning narratives.

How many times have we seen influential voices banned simply for questioning government policies, election results, or health mandates?

Isn’t it concerning that only a select group of elites can decide what is “acceptable” discourse?

While some influencers fall in line with these restrictive policies, others have emerged as champions for free speech, using their platforms to resist censorship and uphold constitutional rights. The question is: Will we support these voices, or will we allow them to be drowned out by corporate and governmental censorship?

The Dangers of Socialism, Communism, and Fascism: A Threat to Free Speech

At the heart of socialism, communism, and fascism lies a common tactic—control over speech. These ideologies have historically sought to suppress dissent, limit expression, and create a monolithic narrative that favors those in power.

Look no further than authoritarian regimes past and present, where dissenters are imprisoned, media is state-controlled, and free speech is criminalized. Can we really ignore the striking similarities between these oppressive ideologies and the current state of political discourse in America?

Is the suppression of speech today not a precursor to more draconian measures tomorrow?

Should we not fight to preserve the right to freely express political, social, and economic ideas?

The Truly Right View: Defending Freedom in the Digital Age

At Truly Right View, we believe in the unwavering defense of free speech as enshrined in the U.S. Constitution. We reject the encroaching influences of socialism, communism, fascism, and any form of dictatorship that seeks to undermine this fundamental right.

Our platform is dedicated to bringing you uncensored news, analysis, and commentary from a truly constitutional perspective. We provide a space where voices that have been silenced or marginalized can be heard, and where you—the citizen—can engage in the free exchange of ideas.

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Will You Speak Up or Stay Silent?

In the end, the future of free speech rests in our hands. We can either stand idly by as it is eroded by corporate and governmental overreach, or we can take action to protect and preserve it.

Will you speak up for your rights, or will you allow them to be taken away piece by piece?

The choice is yours.

Subscribe to the channel for Truly Right View today, and support our patriots shop together, let’s ensure that free speech remains the bedrock of our Constitutional Republic.