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    Kamala LOSES CONTROL: Battlegrounds Swing TRUMP

    by SiteAdmin
    October 31, 2024
    in Politics
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    Video Transcript

    Welcome to Truly Right View
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    I’m really honored to have um Mark Mitchell uh the head pollster at rasmon joining us this morning you know I I I was just uh talking to you before the break everyone about uh Donald Trump’s path to 270 how I think um the trends that I see in North Carolina Georgia Arizona make those look very good very promising for for Donald Trump um and then the path to 270 goes through um Pennsylvania Wisconsin and Michigan which president Trump doesn’t need to win all of them he needs to win one if my math is uh correct uh If he if he if he puts North Carolina Georgia and and Arizona in his column uh so uh Mark good morning thanks for joining us good morning and you know I would instead of taking a bottomup approach I would take a top down approach because Donald Trump is polling better than he did in 2016 across the board in the states and nationally and if you just take his 2016 map where he won with 304 electoral votes winning every single one of the Battleground States except for Nevada uh that’s 304 and I actually think he’s got a really good case based on our polling to win Nevada all of those States Trump is doing better in the polls than he was in 2016 including in our polls and including in the realair politics Aggregates which include all of the Lefty polls so I think that’s really what we’re talking about and maybe he you know underperforms in one or two but that allows him to lose Michigan and I think North Carolina or Georgia so that’s pretty comfortable for Trump and I definitely think like I said there’s a case that he picks up Nevada bringing him up uh to 310 so um yeah that’s what we’re at I agree with that I Mark let’s let’s let’s let’s go into what you see because I I when you I I totally agree with everything you said and and and having worked uh with banon and Stephen I and kellyanne put together the path to 270 in 2016 so it is it is something that I’m a little bit familiar with uh but it’s been eight years A lot has happened so let’s talk about let’s go through Georgia first um what do you see tell me about the trends there the polling that you see there the voter registration uh and the and any data that’s coming in on the early vote do you what are you seeing I think that Georgia looks very strong because I myself pulled it and I think I found Trump up I forget if it was plus two or plus three uh all of the other pollsters are moving more and more to the right uh he is out yeah we had Trump plus three we have the Atlanta Journal con stitution now with a trump plus4 we have a massive string of Republican favorable polling in in Georgia I don’t even know why we’re talking about Georgia anymore when the real politics aggregate is outside of the margin of error of a standard poll and again Donald Trump outperformed the polling in a state like Georgia the left-wing bias is a little less in Georgia I will admit but there’s a ton of reasons why in my opinion Donald Trump outperforms polling in all these states because I think there’s low propensity voters and firsttime voters who are breaking Trump more than they ever have that are not being up being picked up in polling including my polling unless there’s hij Jinks to me Georgia is like totally off the table it’s a strong Trump win I I Mark I couldn’t agree more and and that is why in you know I put I put um I put it in the Trump wi column I do believe like you if you look at the trends of 2016 where we were 14 days out in 2016 2020 and today I I agree completely uh especially when you have these polls uh in Georgia uh over and over uh consistently having Trump leading and expanding his margin outside the the margin of error on these polling on these polls it it it really I think it it’s it’s pretty Rock Solid let’s go to North Carolina tell tell us tell the listeners what what are you seeing in North Carolina um to to make people feel a little bit better look the the the the Panic went out when when when the hurricane hit obviously you know everyone wants um everybody understands what those folks are going through in the western part of the state um but they are dedicated to winning and so what are you seeing so we were very concerned about North Carolina as well specifically because of the hurricane and what you saw in the media was almost like the leftwing glomming onto North Carolina as an alternate path because quite frankly if she loses Pennsylvania she has to win North Carolina and a lot of people were concerned about Democrats uh asymmetrical advantage on electioneering let’s just say and yet we pulled it in September and we got a trump plus three we pulled it last week and we got a trump plus five so I see movement to the right I see momentum maybe it was because of the FEMA response maybe it was because our September polling was too close to the presidential election and there was a little bit of a response bias there haven’t been many post hurricane plls out uh everybody’s paying attention to the atlas Intel one that shows uh Harris taking North Carolina by two I think they would I don’t want to speak for them but I think they would say well we don’t have a lot of experience in North Carolina and they showed Trump winning the national popular vote by three so I think that maybe they got a left word outlier here qu Pak I think should just be outright dismissed because they’re all over the place everybody else shows Trump winning North Carolina although by a lesser margin than us but again the real cair politics aggregate Shows Georgia going for Trump two and a half and I think that North Carolina is going to vote kind of like Georgia yeah I agree with you Mark and let me ask you very quickly on this does the governor’s race have any impact up ballot no in a in a world where Biden flation robbed people of 50% of their purchasing power and Donald Trump got shot at I don’t think so okay and let’s go to Arizona just give us give us your thumbnail on Arizona as well uh so we haven’t been able to pull Arizona recently I think the last time we did it was August we showed Trump plus two there I think there’s a ton of reasons why we’d be in the ballpark with everybody else and we’re pulling Arizona next week uh I mean this looks again like a solid Trump win on Real Clear Politics what happens is all the lefties kind of drop out in the last week or two and the polling shifts right that’s where we are right now and the aggregate shows Trump let yeah yeah I I totally agree with you but let me just run through some numbers is CBS has a poll PL uh uh that came out a couple of days ago Trump plus three traler Trump plus two New York Times Trump plus five the hill Trump plus two um in Atlas um you know which I’m not I’m not a Believer necessarily in in in in that but they have it at tied so that’s the best case scenario for Harris is the Atlas tide and I don’t necessarily believe it so since the beginning of October every poll every single one has trended towards Trump and that’s why you know if you look at that if you look at that polling compared to 2016 14 days out uh 14 days out of 2020 it puts Donald Trump in a in a driver seat and I think you AG especially when New York Times Sienna shows Trump up five and they’ve been all over the map because they’re not waiting to recall vote but in that cross tab they do have recall vote parody so New York Times Sienna has Trump winning Arizona by five I think we’ll probably find something like that that’s getting to the margin where Carrie Lake might get over the hump there too so we’re starting to talk about it long and that’s where I was saying I think the bigger his margin the greater chance that Carri Lake uh a great mag Warrior gets across the Finish Line as well um let’s talk about Pennsylvania we only got two minutes left pennsylv do a Pennsylvania Michigan Wisconsin in two minutes go okay the industry is saying that Pennsylvania is tighter than the other states but the industry also airs very strongly to the left in Pennsylvania Biden was up five points at this point in his cycle only won by one so there’s a four-point polling Miss and Clinton it was like a seven-point polling Miss and yet like you say the recent polls are all very favorable to Donald Trump us Atlas and Trafalger all have Trump plus three New York Times Sienna has Harris plus three but they oversampled Biden supporters from 2020 by seven points so that would be like a trump plus4 poll basically so every single poll except for some you know Lefty colleges since the beginning of October also show Trump winning massively and I don’t even think that we’ve seen the State rightward polling momentum I think there’s going to be a gut check in Pennsylvania and these Battlegrounds too because that’s what we saw in the other states in the Real Clear Politics aggregate again I’m getting to pull Pennsylvania next week again McCormack’s been very tight I think this is probably going to be a senate pickup and I think Donald Trump is going to outperform our polling in Pennsylvania so so Mark I’m hearing you that Dave McCormack and I I have seen some polling this week that shows him uh leading for the first time and I think that his momentum is growing um across the state and I think that the greater Donald the greater Donald Trump’s Victory obviously uh the more it helps Dave McCormack um Mark if it’s okay I’m going to carry you over through the break can you stay stick with us till the uh through it let’s do it I am um honored to be talking to Mark Mitchell the head pollster at rasmon we’ve been going over um what he sees as Donald Trump’s path to 270 uh and uh and I think that there’s there’s not a lot of uh Happy talk here this is the real uh data the real polling that we’re seeing that I’m seeing that that Mark is seeing that we’re talking about here and and and and and I got to tell you none of this happens unless everybody gets out to vote none of it happens unless everybody is going to be turning out uh every single Trump voter because we all know what the left is going to try to do on Election Day and election night um Mark let’s go to U you you you you handle Pennsylvania real well let’s go to um Michigan uh if you would uh and and give us a quick rund down there because what I’m seeing just like in the other states is kamla Harris Peak too soon Donald Trump has been rising and the trend lines in Michigan are very promising uh for president Trump what do you see if you believe the polling on a face value yeah I think that’s 100% correct but let’s talk about real my national popular vote numbers and the reason I focus on them is because we do so much of it we’ve pulled like 30 40,000 people just in the last 3 months on the popular vote and what is said time and time again for every single week is that Trump is up at least two points while every other pollster in the industry except for like maybe three are way out in left field with Harris plus 5 and Harris plus six leads it’s absolutely insane and now they’re all coming back to the right so yeah I would say that all of a sudden Michigan looks really great it went from a trump plus like 0.1 to now a trump plus 1.2 in the real cair politics aggregate same story with every other state all the most recent polls are red I will say that we’re not very experienced in Michigan and we came out with a tie to be honest with you I think I would probably trust I think Rich Baris had Michigan up like 3.5 makes a ton of sense considering Pennsylvania’s up three points in our polling as well but this is all I think fake it’s like K La Harris didn’t Peak too soon I don’t think she ever peaked it’s just she peaked in all of the fake polling now those guys are ducking running for the hill you’re exactly right yeah she you’re you’re exactly right she she never peaked she she just faded maybe that’s how I should put she she actually faded from her uh entrance onto the stage being hoisted up by by the mainstream media as their savior uh and so she’s she is Fading Into Obscurity just like U just like Joe Biden is uh let’s go let’s go let’s go to Wisconsin so I mean Wisconsin in our polling was to the right of Michigan I think we had Trump plus 2 not very many polls in Wisconsin uh this still says roughly a tie in the aggregate Trafalger came out with a tie I I think it’s going to vote pretty much close to as far right as Michigan and Pennsylvania and we’re going to get to pull it next week this one has a bigger fog of War around it but again we’re talking about an environment with a trump Plus two national popular vote win those people are going to be distributed in every single Battleground State Across America and I did want to pile on like you did talk about election Integrity or implied it and I this is something that we PLL on that nobody else uh does and I want to take a moment to make an appeal to Republican secretaries of state to pole Watchers to poll workers America is watching you very closely right now 66% of Voters in this country think it’s at least somewhat likely that the come of this election is going to be affected by cheating in the swing States it’s it’s like 70% we even had I think Pennsylvania was 72% people are not happy with the state of Elections and they’re really worried about the future in this country we now have a new record these numbers aren’t out yet but 43% of Voters think it’s at least somewhat likely we’re going to experience a civil war or revolution in the next few years and also really stunning Revol uh results that it doesn’t even really depend on which candidate voters say that they fear a violent reaction by roughly a 50% um whether either Trump or Harris wins so I’m really concerned that what’s going to happen here is the polling environment is going to show that Donald Trump won and yet in three or four swing States we’re going to see them drag it out for three or four days and try and harvest overseas ballots stuff like printed ballots and do all this stuff and everybody’s going to be watching them and really upset the best thing for this country regardless of who wins is for us to know the night of election day I think that’s really the only thing that’s going to deescalate where we’re at Mark thanks for that because it’s so important to be said uh we have to win and know that Donald Trump is the 47th president on late Tuesday night early Wednesday morning it it it it’s really really important for the future of this country that we win and win big and that’s why uh uh I’m I’m grateful for for the posi I’m grateful for for all the people who have been working for Trump since since he came on the stage uh in 2015 so mark thank you very much look I I know you said you’re going to be into the into the field next week uh let’s have you back uh when we can talk about those new polls fresh out of the field so thank you very much Mark appreciate your time happy to be here

    Truly Right View: Advocating for Free Speech in the Age of Political Censorship

    Introduction: What is Free Speech Today?

    In a world where political discourse is dominated by big tech, cable news, and social media influencers, free speech is constantly under threat. From censorship of conservative viewpoints to the silencing of dissent on controversial issues, we are witnessing an alarming trend of restrictions on the most fundamental rights of any citizen in our Constitutional Republic: the right to speak freely.

    But what does free speech truly mean in today’s context? Are we protecting it, or are we allowing authoritarian ideologies like socialism, communism, fascism, and dictatorships to erode it?


    The Constitutional Perspective: Why Free Speech is Non-Negotiable

    The First Amendment of the United States Constitution is crystal clear: “Congress shall make no law… abridging the freedom of speech.” The Founding Fathers understood the importance of free speech in preserving a free society. Without it, the ability to challenge government, expose corruption, and advocate for truth would be crushed.

    Yet today, under the guise of protecting people from “misinformation” and “hate speech,” powerful institutions are curbing our ability to express ideas that do not conform to their narratives.

    Do we not see this as a slippery slope toward authoritarianism?

    Shouldn’t we, as citizens, be the ones who decide what we can or cannot hear, not a centralized body or corporation?


    Social Media and Cable News: Platforms or Gatekeepers?

    Social media was once hailed as the bastion of free speech. It allowed ordinary individuals to share their thoughts, advocate for causes, and hold the powerful accountable. However, over the years, major platforms like Twitter (now X), Facebook, and YouTube have become gatekeepers rather than facilitators of free expression.

    Algorithms favor certain ideologies, while alternative viewpoints—especially those with a more conservative or constitutional slant—are shadow-banned, demonetized, or outright censored.

    Does this not resemble the tactics of monarchies, communistic or fascist regimes that control what their citizens can see and hear?

    Shouldn’t a true democracy allow the free flow of ideas, even if those ideas challenge the status quo?


    Social Media Influencers: Fighters for Freedom or Puppets of Censorship?

    Many social media influencers, especially those aligned with constitutional values, have become modern-day warriors for free speech. Yet, they face intense backlash, censorship, and de-platforming for voicing opinions that challenge globalist or left-leaning narratives.

    How many times have we seen influential voices banned simply for questioning government policies, election results, or health mandates?

    Isn’t it concerning that only a select group of elites can decide what is “acceptable” discourse?

    While some influencers fall in line with these restrictive policies, others have emerged as champions for free speech, using their platforms to resist censorship and uphold constitutional rights. The question is: Will we support these voices, or will we allow them to be drowned out by corporate and governmental censorship?


    The Dangers of Socialism, Communism, and Fascism: A Threat to Free Speech

    At the heart of socialism, communism, and fascism lies a common tactic—control over speech. These ideologies have historically sought to suppress dissent, limit expression, and create a monolithic narrative that favors those in power.

    Look no further than authoritarian regimes past and present, where dissenters are imprisoned, media is state-controlled, and free speech is criminalized. Can we really ignore the striking similarities between these oppressive ideologies and the current state of political discourse in America?

    Is the suppression of speech today not a precursor to more draconian measures tomorrow?

    Should we not fight to preserve the right to freely express political, social, and economic ideas?


    The Truly Right View: Defending Freedom in the Digital Age

    At Truly Right View, we believe in the unwavering defense of free speech as enshrined in the U.S. Constitution. We reject the encroaching influences of socialism, communism, fascism, and any form of dictatorship that seeks to undermine this fundamental right.

    Our platform is dedicated to bringing you uncensored news, analysis, and commentary from a truly constitutional perspective. We provide a space where voices that have been silenced or marginalized can be heard, and where you—the citizen—can engage in the free exchange of ideas.


    Join the Fight: Sign Up for Our Channel and Newsletter

    Do you value free speech?

    Do you believe that the right to express your thoughts, opinions, and beliefs should never be compromised, no matter how controversial they may be?

    If so, we invite you to join the fight for free speech by subscribing to the Truly Right View channel and newsletter. Stay informed on the latest developments in free speech advocacy, political commentary, and constitutional rights. Together, we can stand against the creeping influence of censorship and authoritarianism.

    Why wait for others to defend your rights?

    Become part of a movement that fights for the truly free society envisioned by our Founding Fathers.

    Sign up now and be a voice for freedom!


    Will You Speak Up or Stay Silent?

    In the end, the future of free speech rests in our hands. We can either stand idly by as it is eroded by corporate and governmental overreach, or we can take action to protect and preserve it.

    Will you speak up for your rights, or will you allow them to be taken away piece by piece?

    The choice is yours.

    Subscribe to the channel for Truly Right View today, and support our patriots shop together, let’s ensure that free speech remains the bedrock of our Constitutional Republic.

    Tags: 2024 Electionamerican politicsbiascommentaryDonald TrumpJD VanceJoe Bidenkamala harrismainstream medianewsnews mediapoliticspollingpresidential debatePropagandaPublic OpinionRepublicansRFKrobert kennedyswing statesTim Walzvice president
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