NEW NUMBERS: Huge Shift Toward Trump in the States, and Kamala's Campaign Implodes!

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hello public opinion of fishon AOS and welcome to Ras musin reports the independent and trusted pollster on the Real Clear Politics aggregate who has told you the truth week after week after week that Donald Trump is winning the 2024 election and that might be news to you if you’re watching the mainstream media although I think what you’re seeing now is an implosion as people are waking up to the possibility that Trump is actually going to win this thing I know a lot of people aren’t going to want to acknowledge that but what we’re going to get into today is our recent slate of Swing State polling you’re not going to want to miss it because they represent a massive shift to the right and we’ll also take a look at the national picture the polling picture and even what’s going on in the media but before we do I want to take a moment to thank our sponsor again for this set of State polling we’ve been able that double the amount of polls we did this cycle almost entirely because of American Thinker for September and October and it’s a really great legendary conservative blog a lot of good content here the Democrat party’s testosterone deficiency and that really is the core of the problem I don’t think Waltz and his Elmer fud Duds really appeal to masculine men in America and certainly not the appearance that we saw last night with Brett Bear being lectured about how his version of reality dares to differ from K Harris’s gaslit bubble but anyways please go to their site follow them on Twitter subscribe to their newsletter I think you’re going to like the content that they put out but now we’re going to get into the cross tabs and we already looked at Pennsylvania a little bit but I’m going to recap everything we got six states here Pennsylvania Ohio Wisconsin Michigan Nevada and what’s the one I’m missing North Carolina that’s right Pennsylvania was a pretty strong Trump plus three Trump 50% to Harris 47% David McCormack 45 to Bob Casey Jr 47 but it was really only about a one and a half Point Race and the Republicans up three points on the generic Congressional ballot the last video that we did on the swing States really went through these cross tabs with a fine tooth comb you’re going to want to go to Rasmus reports.com and download them for yourself if you haven’t yet there were really huge and important questions here to help you understand the fundamentals of the race well today’s children be better off than their parents only 20% of Pennsylvania voters say yes horrible only 133% of Pennsylvania independent voters 54% say no absolutely disgusting stuff like the question about the Civil War How likely is it that America will experience another civil war or revolution in the next few years 46% say at least somewhat likely only 14% say not likely here is North Carolina another really good turnout for Trump this one is Trump 51% to Harris 46% Trump plus five a two-point shift to the right just since September and we have some questions here about FEMA and the hurricane response so you can take a look at them for yourselves and determine if you think that’s what has caused the shift to the right in this state no Senate race in this state but the generic ballot is a little narrower Republican plus three moving on to Wisconsin another good turnout for Trump and in this state we have Trump 49 to Harris 47 Trump plus two that represents another shift to the right Eric Havi is now down only one point on Tammy Baldwin this could be a Republican Senate pickup and the generic ballot is Republicans plus two and then finally the other cross tab we have is Michigan and this one was a tough one I spent a lot of time trying to understand the sample The Independents were really left of where they should have been considering our previous polling considering what the exit polling looked like in 2020 I think it’s just one of those things you know you go out and you pull Six States and they’re not all going to come back normal there’s going to be outliers this one Trump is tied with Harris 48 to 48 so it’s anybody’s race Mike Rogers is tied with Alysa slackin 44 to 44 although there was internal polling released from Eliz slock in herself who said that Harris was actually down on Trump and I think that is a very good reason to think considering all the other Rust Belt states lean Trump that our polling is probably to left here again it might be an outlier or maybe we’re just messing something up in Michigan because the Republicans lead Democrats by two points here and really to be honest with you Trump got more votes than any Republican in history that’s really a strange finding Trump really should outperform Republicans here now we’re going to go to this chart this sums up all of our State polling this time around and we only did did Six States we got to do I think it was 10 states last time michigan though is a tie but that’s up a point from Harris plus one just three weeks ago Nevada we did not release cross tabs yet but Nevada is looking more solid for Trump this is more in line with the rest of our polling we had Nevada going Trump plus two in August it’s back to Trump plus two and the senate race the Republican was only down one point here I think that Sam Brown that is really good for him because he was doing horribly in September North Carolina Trump plus 5 up from Trump plus three Ohio is again Trump plus s but the news here for their first time and maybe as far as I know for the first poll ever released by anybody we have Bernie Moro up a point which would be another Republican pickup Pennsylvania Trump plus three up in a sounding three points from September and again McCormack trailing by only a point and a half year we didn’t do Virginia this time out but there probably is rightward movement there that makes it really dangerous for Harris Virginia could be an early flip on Election night and we have Wisconsin moving a massive two points towards Trump trump plus two again putting the senate race way more competitive than it was just three weeks ago all right let’s go to my browser here’s the national race and it’s now Harris 1.5 it’s kind of been there for a few days but this is down from I think a Max of Harris 2.2 or uh 2.3 not that long ago so the polling has slightly started moving left but as we all know it was preceded by the loser narrative as mainstream media Outlets all of the sudden realized that the polling didn’t support the headlines and kamla Harris they weren’t able to to drag her far enough and it’s time to start preparing their viewers for the inevitability of a potential Trump win and you’re seeing it across the board like n NBC News had Harris plus five they’re back to Tai there’s no way the race really moved five points to the right their other poll was likely a lie you see Marquette has tie Fox News definitely left leaning even though they’re attached to Fox News has Trump plus two that’s actually a point to the right of us and we’ll get into the latest chart but yeah now we’re doing daily four-day rolling cross tabs and the last result was Trump plus one I wouldn’t freak out about it I think it’ll move back and forth probably between one and two but that’s the race it’s moving against Harris Trump is surging Trump has the momentum definitely what happened last night wasn’t helpful for the K Harris campaign as she imploded on Fox News don’t believe anybody who says that was a strong night for her the whole point of going on something like Fox News is to pick up swing voters to pick up undecideds and not a single bit of her performance or message was geared towards acknowledging these people’s very real concerns about the economy and the Border because for everybody women black voters Democrats the number one issue is the economy some of them care about abortion basically MSNBC Watchers but abortion is not the number one issue threats to democracy are not the number one issue for anybody but CNN and MSNBC Watchers Fox News Watchers care about the Border first and foremost why weren’t your answers better on that but let’s run through the states we didn’t pull Arizona this time but we’ve been Trump up in Arizona other really good pollsters traler New York Times Sienna has Trump up five in Arizona this looks like a lock the hill Emerson should be the left book end here and As Trump plus two and listen if it’s closer to New York Times Sienna that’s probably enough to get Carri Lake elected to be honest with you Nevada we had Trump up two Wall Street Journal Trump up six wow troger you know this is probably within the margin of error of our poll uh you know Nevada is probably the biggest one that’s a toss up Wisconsin we had Trump plus two Quinn and Pak agrees with us the hill and Wall Street Journal show the race of Tide traler got Trump plus one it’s definitely leading Trump Michigan we had Trump Tai Quin Pak put out Trump plus four Rich Baris just had Trump plus three and a half Insider Advantage Trump plus two traler Trump plus two this one is looking almost comfortable for Trump but not as comfortable as Pennsylvania and you can see that this number is actually less than the Michigan aggregate but Trump should perform to the right of Michigan we have Trump plus three New York Times Sienna says Harris plus three but it’s really closer to a trump plus4 because their over sample of Biden 2020 voters a lot of other good pollsters have Trump up Quinnipiac you know it’s kind of been all over the place but specifically in Pennsylvania it looks like yeah look at this mid-september Harris plus 5 so that Harris plus two for Quinn Pak is a massive move back to the right this this number here assumes that there is zero leftwing polling bias in these numbers but we know this New York Times Sienna number is really Trump plus four that probably brings this up closer to one UMass like come on Quinn and Pak these are not the names that you want pulling your numbers to the left these are not the names that you want to hang your hat on as KLA Harris as you look at the Pennsylvania polling North Carolina we had Trump plus five Quinn Pak Harris plus three but everybody else has Trump up and North Carolina should perform to the right of Georgia but the polling is basically the same I don’t know this looks pretty safe too this is a really small Wall Street Journal sample uh it’s kind of aged not a lot of good polls here I think one of the things we’re seeing is that if the numbers are expected to be favorable to Trump people duck it but listen if these are way too many numbers for you to be able to process don’t worry the betting Market is processing the numbers for you finally and look what has happened in the betting markets just in the last day I mean this is like realtime proc processing of the impact of KLA Harris’s horrible inters interview on Fox News and the market didn’t like it look the race was roughly a little bit over 20 points in Trump’s favor before the interview and now it’s up to what’s that almost 24 points that’s a really big swing on essentially a relatively inconsequential event and if you look at all of the Swing stat polling it all looks very favorable to Trump although I will say it looks like Nevada swung back so maybe the Nevada is the current Battleground Market every other swing state is going comfortably for Trump on the betting Market odds and even this looks horrible this is the realair politics no toss-ups so they basically Force every state to one side or another and again most of these states according to the aggregate with no left-wing polling bias mostly look like statistical ties but this is what’s going out to normies who don’t understand polling real cair politics an unbiased reporting Outlet the expert of polls is putting out a trump 312 Electoral College vote win that’s where the loser narrative is coming from that’s why cracks are appearing in the narrative that Harris was up because she was never up as our numbers here show this is the new daily chart we still put out the overnight numbers except they’ve been increased in sample size to get the margin of error down a little bit but instead of the moving average starting back on October 13 we are now putting out a 4-day aggregated weighted cross tabs that you can see at Rasmus reports.com and last night’s results show that the race is tied the previous night’s results have all kind of averaged out to about Trump plus two uh I expect that this is just part of the normal statistical swing and like we’ve seen for the last two months now it’ll continue to be a trump plus two race but whatever at this point it doesn’t matter Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by more than two points and still lost the race even if it’s a trump T tie Trump’s winning and time and time again I will say that I think there are a multitude of reasons to expect that Trump outperforms the polling even our polling but this is incredible this is the kind of massive shifts that you see in the polling as all of the perennially left pollsters attached to left leaning corporate media Outlets scramble to finally get their last polls as accurate as possible and make up for the fact that they’ve been Shilling for democrats for two months this is the latest set of Swing States out of morning compost they shifted the Wisconsin race seven points to the right to show like us that Trump is winning they shifted North Carolina three points to the right Pennsylvania one point to the right it’s now a statistical tie there and six points to the right in Michigan what was wrong with their polls what was that a month ago why did they have Paris up eight in Michigan why did they have Paris up six and Wisconsin nobody else did it’s to drive the narrative folks they’re lying to you and if you don’t want to be lied to make sure you follow rasmuson reports at Twitter rasmuson Poole you can come to my account as well it’s kind of the same stuff except a little bit more hot takes and memes markor rore Mitchell make sure you like the video and subscribe to us on YouTube or Rumble and thanks for watching

Truly Right View: Advocating for Free Speech in the Age of Political Censorship

Introduction: What is Free Speech Today?

In a world where political discourse is dominated by big tech, cable news, and social media influencers, free speech is constantly under threat. From censorship of conservative viewpoints to the silencing of dissent on controversial issues, we are witnessing an alarming trend of restrictions on the most fundamental rights of any citizen in our Constitutional Republic: the right to speak freely.

But what does free speech truly mean in today’s context? Are we protecting it, or are we allowing authoritarian ideologies like socialism, communism, fascism, and dictatorships to erode it?

The Constitutional Perspective: Why Free Speech is Non-Negotiable

The First Amendment of the United States Constitution is crystal clear: “Congress shall make no law… abridging the freedom of speech.” The Founding Fathers understood the importance of free speech in preserving a free society. Without it, the ability to challenge government, expose corruption, and advocate for truth would be crushed.

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Do we not see this as a slippery slope toward authoritarianism?

Shouldn’t we, as citizens, be the ones who decide what we can or cannot hear, not a centralized body or corporation?

Social Media and Cable News: Platforms or Gatekeepers?

Social media was once hailed as the bastion of free speech. It allowed ordinary individuals to share their thoughts, advocate for causes, and hold the powerful accountable. However, over the years, major platforms like Twitter (now X), Facebook, and YouTube have become gatekeepers rather than facilitators of free expression.

Algorithms favor certain ideologies, while alternative viewpoints—especially those with a more conservative or constitutional slant—are shadow-banned, demonetized, or outright censored.

Does this not resemble the tactics of monarchies, communistic or fascist regimes that control what their citizens can see and hear?

Shouldn’t a true democracy allow the free flow of ideas, even if those ideas challenge the status quo?

Social Media Influencers: Fighters for Freedom or Puppets of Censorship?

Many social media influencers, especially those aligned with constitutional values, have become modern-day warriors for free speech. Yet, they face intense backlash, censorship, and de-platforming for voicing opinions that challenge globalist or left-leaning narratives.

How many times have we seen influential voices banned simply for questioning government policies, election results, or health mandates?

Isn’t it concerning that only a select group of elites can decide what is “acceptable” discourse?

While some influencers fall in line with these restrictive policies, others have emerged as champions for free speech, using their platforms to resist censorship and uphold constitutional rights. The question is: Will we support these voices, or will we allow them to be drowned out by corporate and governmental censorship?

The Dangers of Socialism, Communism, and Fascism: A Threat to Free Speech

At the heart of socialism, communism, and fascism lies a common tactic—control over speech. These ideologies have historically sought to suppress dissent, limit expression, and create a monolithic narrative that favors those in power.

Look no further than authoritarian regimes past and present, where dissenters are imprisoned, media is state-controlled, and free speech is criminalized. Can we really ignore the striking similarities between these oppressive ideologies and the current state of political discourse in America?

Is the suppression of speech today not a precursor to more draconian measures tomorrow?

Should we not fight to preserve the right to freely express political, social, and economic ideas?

The Truly Right View: Defending Freedom in the Digital Age

At Truly Right View, we believe in the unwavering defense of free speech as enshrined in the U.S. Constitution. We reject the encroaching influences of socialism, communism, fascism, and any form of dictatorship that seeks to undermine this fundamental right.

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