NEW TRUMP POLL: Slow-motion Train Wreck as the World Accepts Harris is LOSING!

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hello public opinion officios and welcome to Ras musim reports the pollster you could set your clock to because once again for a fifth week in a row we show that Donald Trump is winning the national popular vote by two points and listen folks the race has not really changed the polling is not really any different but exactly what we predicted is playing right now on the national stage as people finally come to realize desperately that Cala Harris is actually losing right now and it’s a slow motion train wreck is the few remaining mainstream media Outlets with a shred of credibility prepare their viewers For What appears to be barring like an act of God an inevitable Paris loss I call it the loser narrative the point at which the uniform Democrat machine press is no longer able to convince the world that this is a Vibe election driven by the next hot consumed product candidate and if this is what the rest of October looks like it is going to be a pretty ugly month for some people but let’s take a quick look at our new cross tabs first and here they are pretty similar to last week except you know a slightly bigger sample size because we just recently upped the number of respondents we’re getting each night and you know we have Trump at 48 and Harrison at 46 instead of 49 and 47 but that’s been oscillating back and forth the gender numbers have been incredibly stable I think this is almost exactly what we got last week Trump winning Men by almost 10 points Harris narrowly edging out Trump among women tied among 18 to 39 year olds middle-age voters going to Trump tied among 65 and older voters makes sense Trump winning with white voters by six points taking home 28% of the black vote and winning Hispanic voters by 10 zero crossover Advantage actually I guess one point insignificant and Trump still winning by nine points among independent voters pretty fascinating but again like I’ve said week after week five weeks in a row these numbers have been almost identical because the polling isn’t changing Trump didn’t just you know come out of left field and and all of the sudden convince these people to vote for him he’s been campaigning for this election for like eight years now to be honest with you I never thought she had much of a chance to claw away Donald Trump supporters it seems to me just personally if you can get over that hump and support Donald Trump it’s probably a little bit of a red pill you know actually people have been using that phrase for almost a decade now once you take the red pill are you really going to be swayed by the latest hot vibe candidate I don’t think so let’s take a quick look here is the latest overnight chart and I think we’re going to be changing this up tomorrow I think we might instead of uh individual nightly and then 5 period moving average I think we’re we’ve been increasing the nightly sample to almost 500 so I think what we’re going to put out is also a daily rolling four-day cross Tab and stop with the weekly Thursday releases but Trump had a strong night last night making up for the Harris plus 62 nights ago Trump was up four last night and it still looks like about a onepoint race here in the five period moving average but you know a moving average isn’t the same as aggregating all of this data into one pot and then reweighting it so that’s why we have Trump plus two but let’s go to Real Clear Politics and it is still Harris plus two but I think this is the week of as Scott Adam puts it the great pollster true up where anybody who wants to be accurate needs to start shifting all their propaganda polls back to the right we’re already starting to see it with reuter’s ipsos I think they got all the way up to Harris plus six but they’re Harris plus two now Yahoo news has the race tie qu Pak has the race tie CNN has Harris plus one Emerson’s got Harris plus one too I think based on their State polling you might see Emerson come back right a little bit morning consult is probably going to be the one hanging out there all by themselves way out to the left now I also know it looks fishy with us being the only red circle there but here’s the thing there are other highquality pollsters who agree with us they just don’t poll as frequently as us because where does the money go in the polling industry to perennially left leaning polls yeah Atlas Intel had the race at Trump plus three New York Times Sienna just a month ago he had Trump plus one I think you’re going to see more people come over to the AR side of the fence but even so again look at where this race has been for literally almost two months now it’s been at roughly Harris plus two so anybody who tells you this week all of a sudden the polls look really bad for Harris no they don’t they’ve looked bad for her this entire time because Harris plus two is just not good enough at this point in 2016 Clinton was up 5.8 and Biden was up freaking 10 points so yeah the issue is is that polling is only one leg of the tripod you got polling then you have the betting markets and prediction stuff and then you have all this stuff that you could look at about registration advantages and get out the vote efforts and early turnout stuff I can show you who to follow for that kind of stuff but this loser narrative I saw coming for a long time because according to the polling she’s losing this says Trump is only winning Pennsylvania by3 points and we had the Pennsylvania race tied if you got rid of Bloomberg who again I think is a big left outlier this really looks more favorable to Trump but the point is there is always left polling bias in the states When Donald Trump is on the ticket Biden was up 7.1 points and won by a little over one so that’s like a Sixpoint left pulling Miss and it’s almost a 10-point polling Miss in the 2016 Race So if there is any left polling bias in Pennsylvania and it’s been like this for a month this page has looked like Trump is winning for a month but it was only one leg of the tripod it’s really easy if you’re CNN or MSNBC to pretend that this isn’t reality all of a sudden though reality is catching up to everybody because here is a repres presentation of the other leg of the tripod this is the Bing market and for the longest time too this has been deadlocked in really tight race for like literally a month in a way that didn’t reflect the polling at all now there are multiple betting markets I just like the look of this one I like these guys best and it’s a really deep Market I think $1.6 billion dollar has changed hand just in this one bet alone but what happened is not long after the vice presidential debate Pennsylvania which was locked in a tie as well and I guess you could say that this was interpreting the polls maybe which also showed that Pennsylvania was tied but not incorporating the expected leftwing polling bias or maybe somebody with really Deep Pockets was was holding the race at a certain number if somebody was so inclined they could probably actually find all the trade activity that was doing that maybe there’s an API I don’t know but after the demo but after the vice presidential debate this immediately blew up the market broke whoever was holding the market with a slight Harris lead could no longer do it and now Trump is winning by almost 13 points in Pennsylvania betting markets that’s a really solid lead I really don’t see it reversing too much unless something really major happens this is probably real Market activity and then on Monday in a very incredible way this race which was also deadlocked literally just blew out to like a 10-point trump lead in an hour absolutely incredible it backed off a little bit and just now in the last hour look at this movement a lot all of a sudden a lot of volume hit just within the last hour Trump was up almost 14 points in likelihood of winning the next election so again I haven’t been following this stuff too closely but uh readal politics is a good account to go and see this kind of stuff apparently a lot of the news out of the Swing States has been really good Democrats have obviously a mailin ballot Advantage they always do but what it comes down to is how much the shift is and it looks like it’s moving in the GOP the Republican party’s favor from 2020 so that’s bad because Republicans turn out on Election Day and Democrats need to build up a buffer but here’s the kind of thing I’ve been seeing all over the place and you guys should get to Twitter too and drink it in just four days ago at a chen I think Trump is going to retake the lead kamla Harris started playing prevent defense whatever with two small lead by having her surrogates tell everybody how Pro business she okay well I don’t care about his reasons the point is four days ago Trump was going to retake the lead no Trump is winning he has been winning the polling hasn’t changed now today he says just four days later Trump has definitely taken the lead when asked how she would be different than Biden Harris said she would do the same things terrible but like yeah show me what’s changed the polling hasn’t changed the betting markets already changed this is people coming to grips with the fact that Donald Trump has the upper hand and never has in the last decade in the polling now here’s somebody you should definitely follow uh Mark Halperin has been putting some really solid stuff out there he knows a lot of people in DC I don’t know too much about him but I know that he is taking a very cold dispassionate unbiased look at this on his show there’s a branch of the Democrat Party that I would say can’t handle the truth I’ve made it clear Harris can still win where the polls are now don’t necessarily represent where things will end up says Mark Alin but the snapshot of where we are now is that there are a lot of really worried Democrats and there are really no worried Republicans including in Mar laga they’re very confident about where things stand now they’ve also been talking about all the internal polling leaks the internal polling from what I’ve heard matches what my polling looks like and so the key issue here is that again this time out the public polling is all propaganda now a lot of people have been fighting on Twitter about that point and here’s Nate silver trying to cope internal polls typically have a bias of about three points towards their candidate oh so that’s what it is no folks people expect the truth when you pay your internal pollster you want to know what the real number is and they don’t have that you know I’m a holster attached to a major left leaning corporate media outlet effect so these numbers are about what you’d expect from the campaign given the public data I don’t I mean and now here he’s saying oh like I guess they leaked these numbers to show that Harris really is the underdog because it’s for her to campaign that way no no folks she’s the vibe candidate she’s the consumed product candidate they they need fear of missing out they need barbin Heimer to get people to the polls and it looks like it’s all fizzling out and she how is she going to fix the situation she put herself in with the inability to have effective authentic media appearances like that’s it the next month is like campaign stops and media appearances and she hit a ceiling not even close to where Trump’s numbers are and again I think Trump’s supporters are really sticky so I I just don’t see how they turn this around now here’s Mark Halperin throwing mud at Nate silver I love it I’d love to see a robust debate in which someone actually makes the case that averaging cheap public polls plus a model is more accurate than the data of the best in-class pollsters doing well-funded and serious work for campaigns committees or really re rich people pollers for instance working for Democrat andate candidates are not spinning or lying when they tell some journalists what’s happening with the presidential race I mean this is a really great take we strongly agree Mark a good high quality pollster doing best-in-class work now admittedly we are not well funded but somehow time and time again we’re putting out more results than anybody except morning compost so again folks remember you heard it here first months ago KL Harris is a better candidate than Biden true we always expected the race to tighten up in fact we actually called really this this two-point bogey I think it was way back right at the switcheroo Donald Trump has earned his supporters I really don’t see how the Democrats are going to recapture them unless again an act of God happens between now and election day and so I guess the next thing to watch is just how bad do Wheels fall off how bad is that slow motion train wrecked because it may have some implications about how much Trump wins by and what kind of Senate and House he’s dealing with so if you learned something please like the video subscribe on YouTube or you can go over to rumble as well follow me on Twitter at markor RoR Mitchell or our main account rasor poll and standby for six new States coming next week and I think they’re going to be really important because we’re going into into North Carolina and we’re going to plant a steak in the ground so people know what to expect since this time around it looks like their election infrastructure may be a little shaky follow us so you don’t miss it and thanks for watching

Truly Right View: Advocating for Free Speech in the Age of Political Censorship

Introduction: What is Free Speech Today?

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