Tag: Federal Reserve

US Mortgage Rates Fall in Biggest Decline Since March

U.S. mortgage rates dropped from an eight-month high, after nearing 7 percent last week, as inflation slows ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting. The Fed’s aggressive interest-rate hike policy sent mortgage rates well above 7 percent last year, causing the once booming housing market to crash. Rates have been slow to decline from the nearly two-decade high, forcing many potential buyers out ...

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Top Fed Regulator Cautions AI Risks Violating Lending Laws

Artificial intelligence could come with both advantages and risks in the financial system, cautions the Federal Reserve’s chief banking regulator. Michael S. Barr, the Fed Vice Chair for Supervision, told the National Fair Housing Alliance 2023 National Conference on July 18 that underserved communities could have greater access to housing because AI technology, such as machine learning, might ensure affordable ...

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Federal Reserve Economists Still Expect a Recession Later This Year, FOMC Minutes Show

Federal Reserve economists still expect a recession starting later this year, according to minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meetings. The economic forecast put together by staff at the policy meeting “continued to assume that the effects of the expected further tightening in bank credit conditions, amid already tight financial conditions” would trigger a “mild recession” ...

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130 Countries Are ‘Exploring’ Central Bank Digital Currencies, Report Says

Nearly two thirds of the countries in the world are now “exploring” central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) at one level or another, a new report says. The report, published on Wednesday by Washington-based think tank Atlantic Council, reveals that a total of 130 countries—representing 98 percent of global economy—are taking steps to convert their central bank money into digital form. ...

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Money-Supply Slump Spells Private-Sector Recession

Commentary Allow me to explain why we have not seen a recession yet, despite the collapse in base money supply. We are witnessing the stealth nationalization of the economy. What does this mean? The entire burden of the monetary collapse and rate hikes is falling on the shoulders of families and small businesses, while large corporations and governments are virtually ...

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Even Two More Rate Hikes Might Not Be the End

From the latest dot plot released by the Federal Reserve, the mode value of funds rate implies two more hikes of a quarter percent by yearend. However, careful examination shows there are more dots below the mode than above. Taking into account the dovish tone by chairman Powell, the market does not believe this and still expects only one more ...

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Inflation Is the Least of Our Problems

Commentary The Federal Open Market Committee’s unanimous decision on Wednesday not to raise the federal funds rate, which banks charge each other for overnight loans, has champagne corks popping in some quarters, where it is hailed as evidence of the long-in-coming conquest of inflation; while others see Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell turning chicken in the face of a long-term ...

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Debt Default, the ‘Doomsday Budget Machine,’ and Failed Fiscal Restraint Explained

“For capitalism to work, you have to have effectively functioning, solid capital markets. And in order to do that, you need savings—real savings, not money printed by a central bank, but real savings from businesses and households,” says David Stockman, who served as budget director for President Ronald Reagan. “Back then, the public debt was 30-40 percent of GDP—not good, but ...

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Debt Default, the ‘Doomsday Budget Machine,’ and Failed Fiscal Restraint Explained

“For capitalism to work, you have to have effectively functioning, solid capital markets. And in order to do that, you need savings—real savings, not money printed by a central bank, but real savings from businesses and households,” says David Stockman, who served as budget director for President Ronald Reagan. “Back then, the public debt was 30-40 percent of GDP—not good, but ...

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Keynesians Still Rule the Fed

Commentary Ben Bernanke, former head of the Federal Reserve from 2006 to 2014, has co-authored a paper with Olivier Blanchard of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, that seeks to account for inflation rates that have knocked at least 15 cents off the value of the 2020 dollar. Reading the paper for me was a trip back in time when ...

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Is the Fed’s Inflation Fight Yielding Results?

All eyes this week will be on the April inflation report. Will it continue its downward trend, or will the consumer price index (CPI) continue to be stubborn and sticky? The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s Inflation Nowcasting is penciling in an annual inflation rate of 5.2 percent, which would be up from 5 percent in March. The core inflation ...

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Commercial Real Estate Could Trigger the Next Big Bank Shock

Commentary Charlie Munger, believed by some to be the real “brains” behind Berkshire-Hathaway, the multinational investment leviathon helmed by Warren Buffet, recently told The Financial Times, “We have a lot of troubled office buildings, a lot of troubled shopping centres, a lot of troubled other properties. There’s a lot of agony out there” in real estate. His comments are well-founded. ...

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