Tag: Inflation

Even Two More Rate Hikes Might Not Be the End

From the latest dot plot released by the Federal Reserve, the mode value of funds rate implies two more hikes of a quarter percent by yearend. However, careful examination shows there are more dots below the mode than above. Taking into account the dovish tone by chairman Powell, the market does not believe this and still expects only one more ...

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Financial Hardship Surges as Cost-of-Living Crisis Squeezes Workers

Workers in America and around the world are reporting significantly higher levels of financial hardship compared to last year, as a cooling economy and high inflation has left a growing number cash-strapped and planning to quit in search of better-paid jobs. Despite a softening economy and workers reporting growing levels of financial stress, the “Great Resignation” seems poised to continue, ...

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Inflation Is the Least of Our Problems

Commentary The Federal Open Market Committee’s unanimous decision on Wednesday not to raise the federal funds rate, which banks charge each other for overnight loans, has champagne corks popping in some quarters, where it is hailed as evidence of the long-in-coming conquest of inflation; while others see Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell turning chicken in the face of a long-term ...

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With Lower Commodity Prices, Why Aren’t Food Prices Dropping?

One culprit rarely mentioned, especially by governments, is the high rate of public spending Many Canadians are wondering why food prices are not dropping at the same rate as agricultural commodity prices. Last year, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine pushed prices to astronomical levels. One year later, the agricultural commodity landscape looks incredibly different. Prices for agricultural commodities have dropped significantly ...

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Trucking Companies Brace for California’s Electric Mandate

Logistics companies are scrambling to meet California’s upcoming Jan. 1, 2024 mandate that all new trucks purchased for servicing ports, rail yards, and distribution centers in the state be zero-emission vehicles, with experts questioning limited access to charging stations and the viability of switching from diesel to electric fleets. Availability of electric semi-trucks is a concern, as is the price ...

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Commodity Weakness Destroys the Inflationists’ Narrative

Commentary Most politicians have used the “Ukraine invasion card” to justify the massive inflationary burst in 2021–23. It does not matter if inflation was already elevated prior to the war. Supply-chain disruptions, demand recovery, wage growth… Many excuses were used to justify inflation, except the only one that can make aggregate prices rise in unison, which is the creation of ...

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Opposing Advice From Australia’s RBA Governor ‘Deliberately’ Leaked to Damage Government: Minister

SYDNEY, Australia—Assistant Minister to the Prime Minister, Patrick Gorman, said it was “disappointing” that the individual who leaked an exchange between Labor MPs and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe, saying that they were trying to damage the government. “There’s plenty of ways to have a fight in Parliament. But breaching the confidentiality of a government committee ...

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Keynesians Still Rule the Fed

Commentary Ben Bernanke, former head of the Federal Reserve from 2006 to 2014, has co-authored a paper with Olivier Blanchard of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, that seeks to account for inflation rates that have knocked at least 15 cents off the value of the 2020 dollar. Reading the paper for me was a trip back in time when ...

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UK Inflation Drops But Prices Remain High

The UK inflation rate has dropped for the first time in eight months, but prices on basic essentials remain high. The latest data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) showed a drop in the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month inflation rate in April to 10.5 percent, which is lower than November’s 10.7 percent, and down from the peak in ...

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Survey Reveals 61 Percent of Americans Struggling Financially Due to Recent Price Hikes

Recent surveys have indicated a growing concern among U.S. citizens about the financial impact of inflation. According to a recent poll, 61 percent of Americans are now stating that the rising costs have been causing financial difficulties, a notable jump of six percent from the previous survey carried out in November 2022. This figure is the highest reported since Gallup ...

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Biggest Fear Among US Business Leaders Is ‘Catastrophic’ Debt Default: White House Economic Adviser

A key aide to President Joe Biden said Sunday that American business leaders’ chief concern is not inflation or recession but the looming threat of a “catastrophic” government debt default. Lael Brainard, director of the White House National Economic Council, told CBS’ “Face the Nation” on Sunday that the country’s top business leaders have told her that their biggest concern is ...

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US Wholesale Price Data for April Points to Easing Inflation Pressures

WASHINGTON—Wholesale prices in the United States rose modestly last month, the latest sign that inflationary pressures may be easing more than a year after the Federal Reserve unleashed an aggressive campaign of steadily higher interest rates. From March to April, the government’s producer price index rose just 0.2 percent after falling 0.4 percent from February to March, held down by ...

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Is the Fed’s Inflation Fight Yielding Results?

All eyes this week will be on the April inflation report. Will it continue its downward trend, or will the consumer price index (CPI) continue to be stubborn and sticky? The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s Inflation Nowcasting is penciling in an annual inflation rate of 5.2 percent, which would be up from 5 percent in March. The core inflation ...

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Investing: Cutting Through the Noise

Commentary As an investor, it’s very easy to look at the current environment and shake one’s head. There’s a tremendous amount of headwinds. Given the volumes of headlines involving inflation, the debt ceiling, incompetence in Washington, geopolitical risks, China, etc., some investors may just give up and stash away their cash. But that could prove to be rather short-sighted. If ...

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